Ligue 1 (France) · Sat, Feb 8 · 18:00 · LOSC Lille vs Le Havre
Likeliest: LOSC Lille win · 54%
A tight one: we make it 54% for the home win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
LOSC Lille54%——
OursMarket
Draw25%——
OursMarket
Le Havre21%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 79% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 45% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 75% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 72% | — | — |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
LOSC Lille
WinLossLossWinWin
- Feb 1 · v Saint-Étienne (H)4-1
- Jan 29 · v Feyenoord (H)6-1
- Jan 25 · at Strasbourg (A)1-2
- Jan 21 · at Liverpool (A)1-2
- Jan 17 · v Nice (H)2-1
Le Havre
LossLossDrawLossDraw
- Feb 2 · at Angers SCO (A)1-1
- Jan 26 · v Brest (H)0-1
- Jan 19 · at Reims (A)1-1
- Jan 12 · v Lens (H)1-2
- Jan 5 · at Olympique Marseille (A)1-5
| Last 10 games | LOSC Lille | Le Havre |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 3-2-2 | 0-2-3 |
| Goals scored a game | 2.1 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.1 | 2.0 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 71% | 40% |
| Both teams scored | 86% | 80% |
| Clean sheets | 14% | 0% |
| Last 10 at this venue | — | — |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.