Ligue 1 (France) · Sat, Feb 22 · 16:00 · LOSC Lille vs Monaco
Likeliest: LOSC Lille win · 50%
A tight one: we make it 50% for the home win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
LOSC Lille50%——
OursMarket
Draw24%——
OursMarket
Monaco25%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 55% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 75% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 50% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 76% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 67% | — | — |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
LOSC Lille
LossWinWinLossWin
- Feb 16 · at Rennes (A)2-0
- Feb 8 · v Le Havre (H)1-2
- Feb 1 · v Saint-Étienne (H)4-1
- Jan 29 · v Feyenoord (H)6-1
- Jan 25 · at Strasbourg (A)1-2
Monaco
WinLossLossWinDraw
- Feb 18 · at Benfica (A)3-3
- Feb 15 · v Nantes (H)7-1
- Feb 12 · v Benfica (H)0-1
- Feb 7 · at Paris Saint Germain (A)1-4
- Feb 1 · v Auxerre (H)4-2
| Last 10 games | LOSC Lille | Monaco |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 4-2-3 | 4-2-4 |
| Goals scored a game | 2.0 | 2.2 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.1 | 2.0 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 67% | 80% |
| Both teams scored | 78% | 70% |
| Clean sheets | 22% | 10% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 3-1-1 | 0-2-3 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.