Championship (England) · Wed, Feb 19 · 19:45 · Luton Town vs Plymouth Argyle
Likeliest: Luton Town win · 43%
A tight one: we make it 43% for the home win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
Luton Town43%——
OursMarket
Draw28%——
OursMarket
Plymouth Argyle29%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 55% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 71% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 57% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 72% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 60% | — | — |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Luton Town
LossLossDrawLossLoss
- Feb 15 · v Sheffield United (H)0-1
- Feb 12 · at Sunderland (A)0-2
- Feb 1 · at Sheffield Wednesday (A)1-1
- Jan 25 · v Millwall (H)0-1
- Jan 21 · at Oxford United (A)2-3
Plymouth Argyle
DrawWinWinWinLoss
- Feb 15 · at Blackburn Rovers (A)0-2
- Feb 12 · v Millwall (H)5-1
- Feb 9 · v Liverpool (H)1-0
- Feb 1 · v West Bromwich Albion (H)2-1
- Jan 25 · at Sunderland (A)2-2
| Last 10 games | Luton Town | Plymouth Argyle |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 0-2-7 | 4-3-3 |
| Goals scored a game | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.4 | 1.3 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 22% | 40% |
| Both teams scored | 33% | 40% |
| Clean sheets | 11% | 30% |
| Last 10 at this venue | — | — |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.