Superliga (Denmark) · Fri, Sep 18 · 17:00 · Lyngby vs Silkeborg IF
Likeliest: Lyngby win · 51%
A tight one: we make it 51% for the home win. The market says 51%.
Nothing here separates us from the market by four points or more, so there is no spot on this match. Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night.
Who wins
Lyngby51%51%0
OursMarket
Draw24%24%0
OursMarket
Silkeborg IF25%25%0
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 81% | — | — |
| Over 2.5 goals | 65% | 63% | +2 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 37% | — | — |
| Both teams score | 67% | 65% | +2 |
| Double chance 1X | 75% | 75% | +1 |
| Double chance X2 | 49% | 49% | 0 |
| Double chance 12 | 76% | 76% | 0 |
| Draw no bet (home) | 68% | 67% | +1 |
| Expected goals | 1.8 | 1.3 | H · A |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Lyngby
DrawLossDrawWinDraw
- Sep 13 · v Sønderjyske Fodbold (H)1-1
- Sep 4 · at Viborg FF (A)2-0
- Aug 30 · v Odense Boldklub (H)1-1
- Aug 23 · at AC Horsens (A)1-2
- Aug 16 · v FC Midtjylland (H)1-1
Silkeborg IF
LossLossDrawDrawDraw
- Sep 13 · v Viborg FF (H)1-1
- Sep 5 · at AGF (A)2-2
- Aug 30 · v FC Midtjylland (H)1-1
- Aug 24 · at Brøndby IF (A)1-3
- Aug 16 · at FC Nordsjælland (A)0-1
| Last 10 games | Lyngby | Silkeborg IF |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 1-4-3 | 1-4-5 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.3 | 0.9 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.5 | 2.0 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 38% | 50% |
| Both teams scored | 75% | 70% |
| Clean sheets | 13% | 10% |
| Last 10 at this venue | — | 3-2-5 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.