Israeli Premier League (Israel) · Mon, Aug 24 · 17:00 · Maccabi Netanya vs Bnei Sakhnin
Likeliest: Maccabi Netanya win · 64%
A 64% home win. The market says 54%.
10 points apart — enough for us to flag it. Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night.
Who wins
Maccabi Netanya64%54%+10
OursMarket
Draw19%23%−4
OursMarket
Bnei Sakhnin17%23%−6
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 52% | 55% | −3 |
| Both teams score | 56% | 54% | +2 |
| Double chance 1X | 83% | 77% | +6 |
| Double chance X2 | 36% | 46% | −10 |
| Double chance 12 | 81% | 77% | +4 |
| Draw no bet (home) | 79% | 70% | +9 |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Maccabi Netanya
LossWinLossDrawWin
- May 18 · at Maccabi Bnei Raina (A)4-1
- May 13 · v Hapoel Haifa (H)1-1
- May 10 · at Ironi Tiberias (A)3-4
- May 4 · v Hapoel Jerusalem (H)1-0
- Apr 29 · at Ironi Kiryat Shmona (A)0-1
Bnei Sakhnin
DrawLossLossLossLoss
- May 18 · at Hapoel Haifa (A)0-3
- May 13 · v Ironi Kiryat Shmona (H)0-4
- May 10 · at Hapoel Jerusalem (A)0-1
- May 4 · v Maccabi Bnei Raina (H)0-2
- Apr 28 · v Ashdod (H)1-1
| Last 10 games | Maccabi Netanya | Bnei Sakhnin |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 5-2-3 | 1-3-6 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.9 | 0.3 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.8 | 1.6 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60% | 30% |
| Both teams scored | 60% | 10% |
| Clean sheets | 30% | 30% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 4-4-2 | 2-1-7 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.