Israeli Premier League (Israel) · Mon, Sep 7 · 16:45 · Maccabi Netanya vs Hapoel Haifa
Likeliest: Maccabi Netanya win · 62%
A 62% home win. The market says 47%.
16 points apart — enough for us to flag it. Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night.
Who wins
Maccabi Netanya62%47%+16
OursMarket
Draw19%28%−9
OursMarket
Hapoel Haifa19%26%−7
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 52% | 55% | −3 |
| Both teams score | 57% | 58% | −1 |
| Double chance 1X | 82% | 74% | +7 |
| Double chance X2 | 38% | 53% | −16 |
| Double chance 12 | 81% | 72% | +9 |
| Draw no bet (home) | 77% | 65% | +13 |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Maccabi Netanya
LossDrawWinDrawWin
- Aug 29 · at Beitar Jerusalem (A)4-1
- Aug 24 · v Bnei Sakhnin (H)0-0
- May 18 · at Maccabi Bnei Raina (A)4-1
- May 13 · v Hapoel Haifa (H)1-1
- May 10 · at Ironi Tiberias (A)3-4
Hapoel Haifa
WinDrawWinDrawDraw
- Sep 2 · at Hapoel Be'er Sheva (A)2-2
- Aug 29 · v Hapoel Tel Aviv (H)0-0
- May 18 · v Bnei Sakhnin (H)3-0
- May 13 · at Maccabi Netanya (A)1-1
- May 10 · v Ashdod (H)1-0
| Last 10 games | Maccabi Netanya | Hapoel Haifa |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 5-3-2 | 2-6-2 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.8 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded a game | 0.9 | 0.9 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 30% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 40% |
| Clean sheets | 40% | 50% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 4-5-1 | 1-6-3 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.