La Liga (Spain) · Sun, Mar 2 · 17:30 · Mallorca vs Deportivo Alavés
Likeliest: Deportivo Alavés win · 39%
A tight one: we make it 39% for the away win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
Mallorca30%——
OursMarket
Draw31%——
OursMarket
Deportivo Alavés39%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 38% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 61% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 70% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 69% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 43% | — | — |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Mallorca
LossLossDrawWinDraw
- Feb 24 · at Sevilla (A)1-1
- Feb 16 · v Las Palmas (H)3-1
- Feb 10 · v Osasuna (H)1-1
- Feb 1 · at Atlético Madrid (A)0-2
- Jan 25 · v Real Betis (H)0-1
Deportivo Alavés
DrawLossLossDrawLoss
- Feb 22 · v Espanyol (H)0-1
- Feb 15 · at Leganés (A)3-3
- Feb 9 · v Getafe (H)0-1
- Feb 2 · at FC Barcelona (A)0-1
- Jan 27 · v Celta de Vigo (H)1-1
| Last 10 games | Mallorca | Deportivo Alavés |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 1-2-4 | 1-2-4 |
| Goals scored a game | 0.7 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.9 | 1.3 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 43% | 29% |
| Both teams scored | 43% | 43% |
| Clean sheets | 0% | 0% |
| Last 10 at this venue | — | — |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.