La Liga (Spain) · Sat, Mar 15 · 15:15 · Mallorca vs Espanyol
Likeliest: Espanyol win · 43%
A tight one: we make it 43% for the away win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
Mallorca32%——
OursMarket
Draw25%——
OursMarket
Espanyol43%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 57% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 68% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 75% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 43% | — | — |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Mallorca
DrawWinDrawDrawDraw
- Mar 9 · at Athletic Club (A)1-1
- Mar 2 · v Deportivo Alavés (H)1-1
- Feb 24 · at Sevilla (A)1-1
- Feb 16 · v Las Palmas (H)3-1
- Feb 10 · v Osasuna (H)1-1
Espanyol
WinLossDrawWinDraw
- Mar 10 · v Girona (H)1-1
- Feb 22 · at Deportivo Alavés (A)1-0
- Feb 16 · v Athletic Club (H)1-1
- Feb 9 · at Real Sociedad (A)1-2
- Feb 1 · v Real Madrid (H)1-0
| Last 10 games | Mallorca | Espanyol |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 1-4-4 | 3-4-1 |
| Goals scored a game | 0.8 | 1.1 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.7 | 0.9 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 33% | 25% |
| Both teams scored | 56% | 75% |
| Clean sheets | 0% | 25% |
| Last 10 at this venue | — | — |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.