La Liga (Spain) · Sun, Nov 9 · 17:30 · Mallorca vs Getafe
Likeliest: Mallorca win · 44%
A tight one: we make it 44% for the home win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
Mallorca44%——
OursMarket
Draw29%——
OursMarket
Getafe28%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 41% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 72% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 56% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 72% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 61% | — | — |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Mallorca
LossWinDrawWinLoss
- Nov 2 · at Real Betis (A)0-3
- Oct 29 · at Atlètic Sant Just (A)2-0
- Oct 26 · v Levante (H)1-1
- Oct 18 · at Sevilla (A)3-1
- Oct 4 · at Athletic Club (A)1-2
Getafe
LossLossWinWinWin
- Oct 31 · v Girona (H)2-1
- Oct 28 · at Inter de Valdemoro (A)11-0
- Oct 25 · at Athletic Club (A)1-0
- Oct 19 · v Real Madrid (H)0-1
- Oct 3 · at Osasuna (A)1-2
| Last 10 games | Mallorca | Getafe |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 3-2-5 | 4-2-4 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.2 | 1.9 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.4 | 1.2 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 50% |
| Both teams scored | 60% | 40% |
| Clean sheets | 20% | 30% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 3-4-3 | 5-0-5 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.