La Liga (Spain) · Mon, Feb 10 · 20:00 · Mallorca vs Osasuna
Likeliest: Osasuna win · 37%
A tight one: we make it 37% for the away win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
Mallorca36%——
OursMarket
Draw27%——
OursMarket
Osasuna37%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 41% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 63% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 64% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 73% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 49% | — | — |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Mallorca
LossLossLossLoss
- Feb 1 · at Atlético Madrid (A)0-2
- Jan 25 · v Real Betis (H)0-1
- Jan 20 · at Villarreal (A)0-4
- Jan 3 · at Pontevedra (A)0-3
Osasuna
WinDrawDrawWinLoss
- Feb 6 · at Real Sociedad (A)0-2
- Feb 2 · v Real Sociedad (H)2-1
- Jan 24 · at Las Palmas (A)1-1
- Jan 19 · v Rayo Vallecano (H)1-1
- Jan 16 · at Athletic Club (A)3-2
| Last 10 games | Mallorca | Osasuna |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | — | 3-2-2 |
| Goals scored a game | — | 1.3 |
| Goals conceded a game | — | 1.3 |
| Over 2.5 goals | — | 43% |
| Both teams scored | — | 71% |
| Clean sheets | — | 0% |
| Last 10 at this venue | — | 2-1-2 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.