Premier League (England) · Sun, Nov 2 · 16:30 · Manchester City vs AFC Bournemouth
Likeliest: Manchester City win · 56%
A tight one: we make it 56% for the home win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
Manchester City56%——
OursMarket
Draw22%——
OursMarket
AFC Bournemouth22%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 67% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 78% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 44% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 78% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 72% | — | — |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Manchester City
WinWinWinLossWin
- Oct 29 · at Swansea City (A)3-1
- Oct 26 · at Aston Villa (A)0-1
- Oct 21 · at Villarreal (A)2-0
- Oct 18 · v Everton (H)2-0
- Oct 5 · at Brentford (A)1-0
AFC Bournemouth
DrawDrawWinDrawWin
- Oct 26 · v Nottingham Forest (H)2-0
- Oct 18 · at Crystal Palace (A)3-3
- Oct 3 · v Fulham (H)3-1
- Sep 27 · at Leeds United (A)2-2
- Sep 21 · v Newcastle United (H)0-0
| Last 10 games | Manchester City | AFC Bournemouth |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 7-2-1 | 5-3-2 |
| Goals scored a game | 2.0 | 1.6 |
| Goals conceded a game | 0.6 | 1.3 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 30% | 50% |
| Both teams scored | 40% | 50% |
| Clean sheets | 50% | 40% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 9-0-1 | 2-5-3 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.
Manchester City form·AFC Bournemouth form·Head-to-head record