Premier League (England) · Sat, Mar 15 · 15:00 · Manchester City vs Brighton & Hove Albion
Likeliest: Manchester City win · 47%
A tight one: we make it 47% for the home win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
Manchester City47%——
OursMarket
Draw21%——
OursMarket
Brighton & Hove Albion30%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 71% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 67% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 50% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 76% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 61% | — | — |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Manchester City
LossLossWinWinLoss
- Mar 8 · at Nottingham Forest (A)0-1
- Mar 1 · v Plymouth Argyle (H)3-1
- Feb 26 · at Tottenham Hotspur (A)1-0
- Feb 23 · v Liverpool (H)0-2
- Feb 19 · at Real Madrid (A)1-3
Brighton & Hove Albion
WinWinWinWinWin
- Mar 8 · v Fulham (H)2-1
- Feb 25 · v AFC Bournemouth (H)2-1
- Feb 22 · at Southampton (A)4-0
- Feb 14 · v Chelsea (H)3-0
- Feb 8 · v Chelsea (H)2-1
| Last 10 games | Manchester City | Brighton & Hove Albion |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 5-0-5 | 8-0-2 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.7 | 2.2 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.7 | 1.2 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 70% | 80% |
| Both teams scored | 60% | 40% |
| Clean sheets | 20% | 40% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 6-0-2 | 4-0-1 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.
Manchester City form·Brighton & Hove Albion form·Head-to-head record