Premier League (England) · Sat, Jan 25 · 17:30 · Manchester City vs Chelsea
Likeliest: Manchester City win · 45%
A tight one: we make it 45% for the home win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
Manchester City45%——
OursMarket
Draw21%——
OursMarket
Chelsea30%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 75% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 66% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 51% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 74% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 60% | — | — |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Manchester City
WinWinDrawWinLoss
- Jan 22 · at Paris Saint Germain (A)2-4
- Jan 19 · at Ipswich Town (A)6-0
- Jan 14 · at Brentford (A)2-2
- Jan 11 · v Salford City (H)8-0
- Jan 4 · v West Ham United (H)4-1
Chelsea
DrawWinDrawWin
- Jan 20 · v Wolverhampton Wanderers (H)3-1
- Jan 14 · v AFC Bournemouth (H)2-2
- Jan 11 · v Morecambe (H)5-0
- Jan 4 · at Crystal Palace (A)1-1
| Last 10 games | Manchester City | Chelsea |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 3-1-1 | — |
| Goals scored a game | 4.4 | — |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.4 | — |
| Over 2.5 goals | 100% | — |
| Both teams scored | 60% | — |
| Clean sheets | 40% | — |
| Last 10 at this venue | — | — |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.