Premier League (England) · Sun, Jan 19 · 14:00 · Manchester United vs Brighton & Hove Albion
Likeliest: Manchester United win · 41%
A tight one: we make it 41% for the home win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
Manchester United41%——
OursMarket
Draw23%——
OursMarket
Brighton & Hove Albion35%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 66% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 64% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 59% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 76% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 54% | — | — |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Manchester United
DrawWin
- Jan 16 · v Southampton (H)3-1
- Jan 5 · at Liverpool (A)2-2
Brighton & Hove Albion
DrawWinWin
- Jan 16 · at Ipswich Town (A)2-0
- Jan 11 · at Norwich City (A)4-0
- Jan 4 · v Arsenal (H)1-1
Manchester United form·Brighton & Hove Albion form·Head-to-head record