Premier League (England) · Sun, Feb 2 · 14:00 · Manchester United vs Crystal Palace
Likeliest: Manchester United win · 41%
A tight one: we make it 41% for the home win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
Manchester United41%——
OursMarket
Draw25%——
OursMarket
Crystal Palace34%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 61% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 66% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 59% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 75% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 54% | — | — |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Manchester United
WinLossWinWinWin
- Jan 30 · at FCSB (A)2-0
- Jan 26 · at Fulham (A)1-0
- Jan 23 · v Rangers (H)2-1
- Jan 19 · v Brighton & Hove Albion (H)1-3
- Jan 16 · v Southampton (H)3-1
Crystal Palace
DrawWinWinWinLoss
- Jan 26 · v Brentford (H)1-2
- Jan 18 · at West Ham United (A)2-0
- Jan 15 · at Leicester City (A)2-0
- Jan 12 · v Stockport County (H)1-0
- Jan 4 · v Chelsea (H)1-1
| Last 10 games | Manchester United | Crystal Palace |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 4-1-1 | 3-1-1 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.8 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.2 | 0.6 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 67% | 20% |
| Both teams scored | 67% | 40% |
| Clean sheets | 33% | 60% |
| Last 10 at this venue | — | — |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.
Manchester United form·Crystal Palace form·Head-to-head record