Botola Pro (Morocco) · Thu, Oct 8 · 20:00 · MAS de Fès vs Raja Club Athletic
Likeliest: MAS de Fès win · 37%
Likely score: 1–0
A tight one: we make it 37% for the home win. The market says 39%.
Nothing here separates us from the market by four points or more, so there is no spot on this match. Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night.
Who wins
MAS de Fès37%39%−2
OursMarket
Draw34%31%+2
OursMarket
Raja Club Athletic29%30%0
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 68% | — | — |
| Over 2.5 goals | 35% | 36% | −1 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 20% | — | — |
| Both teams score | 47% | 48% | 0 |
| Double chance 1X | 71% | 70% | 0 |
| Double chance X2 | 63% | 61% | +2 |
| Double chance 12 | 66% | 69% | −2 |
| Draw no bet (home) | 56% | 57% | −1 |
| Expected goals | 1.3 | 0.9 | H · A |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
MAS de Fès
WinWinDrawWinWin
- Oct 3 · at Hassania d'Agadir (A)2-1
- Sep 27 · v Renaissance Zemamra (H)2-1
- Sep 12 · at Rahimo FC (A)0-0
- Sep 6 · v Rahimo FC (H)4-1
- Jul 5 · v Olympique Dcheira (H)2-0
Raja Club Athletic
LossDrawWinWinWin
- Oct 3 · v Renaissance Zemamra (H)1-0
- Jul 5 · at Olympic Safi (A)2-0
- Jul 2 · v Hassania d'Agadir (H)2-0
- Jun 28 · at Ittihad Tanger (A)1-1
- Jun 25 · at Union Sportive Yacoub El Mansour (A)1-2
| Last 10 games | MAS de Fès | Raja Club Athletic |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 7-2-1 | 5-2-3 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.6 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded a game | 0.7 | 1.1 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60% | 30% |
| Both teams scored | 60% | 50% |
| Clean sheets | 40% | 30% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 5-1-1 | 3-1-2 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.