Ligue 1 (France) · Sun, Nov 9 · 16:15 · Metz vs Nice
Likeliest: Metz win · 64%
A tight one: we make it 64% for the home win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
Metz64%——
OursMarket
Draw22%——
OursMarket
Nice14%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 58% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 86% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 36% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 79% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 82% | — | — |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Metz
LossLossLossWinWin
- Nov 2 · at Nantes (A)2-0
- Oct 29 · v Lens (H)2-0
- Oct 26 · at LOSC Lille (A)1-6
- Oct 19 · at Toulouse (A)0-4
- Oct 4 · v Olympique Marseille (H)0-3
Nice
LossWinWinLossLoss
- Nov 6 · v SC Freiburg (H)1-3
- Nov 1 · at Paris Saint Germain (A)0-1
- Oct 29 · v LOSC Lille (H)2-0
- Oct 26 · at Rennes (A)2-1
- Oct 23 · at Celta de Vigo (A)1-2
| Last 10 games | Metz | Nice |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 2-2-6 | 3-2-5 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.0 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded a game | 2.5 | 1.6 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60% | 70% |
| Both teams scored | 40% | 80% |
| Clean sheets | 30% | 10% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 3-5-2 | 2-1-7 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.