Niké Liga (Slovakia) · Sun, Sep 6 · 17:00 · MFK Ružomberok vs FC Spartak Trnava
Likeliest: MFK Ružomberok win · 60%
A tight one: we make it 60% for the home win. The market says 23%.
Nothing here separates us from the market by four points or more, so there is no spot on this match. Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night.
Who wins
MFK Ružomberok60%23%+37
OursMarket
Draw22%25%−3
OursMarket
FC Spartak Trnava18%52%−34
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 51% | 55% | −4 |
| Both teams score | 50% | 56% | −6 |
| Double chance 1X | 82% | 48% | +34 |
| Double chance X2 | 40% | 77% | −37 |
| Double chance 12 | 78% | 75% | +3 |
| Draw no bet (home) | 77% | 31% | +46 |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
MFK Ružomberok
LossLossLossLossLoss
- Aug 29 · at AS Trenčín (A)1-2
- Aug 22 · v Dukla Banská Bystrica (H)0-1
- Aug 15 · at ŠK Slovan Bratislava (A)0-5
- Aug 8 · v FK Železiarne Podbrezová (H)1-4
- Aug 1 · at MFK Skalica (A)1-2
FC Spartak Trnava
WinWinWinWinLoss
- Aug 30 · v MŠK Žilina (H)1-3
- Aug 23 · at AS Trenčín (A)4-0
- Aug 16 · v MFK Zemplín Michalovce (H)2-0
- Aug 8 · v Dukla Banská Bystrica (H)3-0
- Aug 2 · at KFC Komárno (A)2-1
| Last 10 games | MFK Ružomberok | FC Spartak Trnava |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 0-1-5 | 4-3-1 |
| Goals scored a game | 0.7 | 1.6 |
| Goals conceded a game | 2.5 | 0.6 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 67% | 50% |
| Both teams scored | 67% | 38% |
| Clean sheets | 0% | 63% |
| Last 10 at this venue | — | — |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.