Niké Liga (Slovakia) · Sat, Sep 12 · 16:00 · MFK Ružomberok vs MFK Zemplín Michalovce
Likeliest: MFK Ružomberok win · 49%
A tight one: we make it 49% for the home win. The market says 48%.
Nothing here separates us from the market by four points or more, so there is no spot on this match. Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night.
Who wins
MFK Ružomberok49%48%+1
OursMarket
Draw26%25%+1
OursMarket
MFK Zemplín Michalovce25%27%−1
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 83% | — | — |
| Over 2.5 goals | 56% | 56% | +1 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 39% | — | — |
| Both teams score | 59% | 58% | +2 |
| Double chance 1X | 75% | 73% | +1 |
| Double chance X2 | 51% | 52% | −1 |
| Double chance 12 | 74% | 75% | −1 |
| Draw no bet (home) | 66% | 64% | +1 |
| Expected goals | 1.2 | 1.4 | H · A |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
MFK Ružomberok
LossLossLossLossDraw
- Sep 6 · v FC Spartak Trnava (H)1-1
- Aug 29 · at AS Trenčín (A)1-2
- Aug 22 · v Dukla Banská Bystrica (H)0-1
- Aug 15 · at ŠK Slovan Bratislava (A)0-5
- Aug 8 · v FK Železiarne Podbrezová (H)1-4
MFK Zemplín Michalovce
DrawLossWinWinWin
- Sep 5 · v AS Trenčín (H)3-1
- Aug 30 · at ŠK Slovan Bratislava (A)2-1
- Aug 22 · v MFK Skalica (H)2-0
- Aug 16 · at FC Spartak Trnava (A)0-2
- Aug 8 · v KFC Komárno (H)1-1
| Last 10 games | MFK Ružomberok | MFK Zemplín Michalovce |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 0-2-5 | 3-1-3 |
| Goals scored a game | 0.7 | 1.1 |
| Goals conceded a game | 2.3 | 1.1 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 57% | 29% |
| Both teams scored | 71% | 43% |
| Clean sheets | 0% | 14% |
| Last 10 at this venue | — | — |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.