Niké Liga (Slovakia) · Sat, Oct 24 · 16:00 · MFK Skalica vs FC Spartak Trnava
Likeliest: FC Spartak Trnava win · 59%
Likely score: 0–2
A 59% away win. The market says 54%.
4 points apart — enough for us to flag it. Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night.
Who wins
MFK Skalica17%21%−4
OursMarket
Draw24%24%0
OursMarket
FC Spartak Trnava59%54%+4
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 83% | — | — |
| Over 2.5 goals | 53% | 55% | −2 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 40% | — | — |
| Both teams score | 63% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 41% | 46% | −4 |
| Double chance X2 | 83% | 79% | +4 |
| Double chance 12 | 76% | 76% | 0 |
| Draw no bet (home) | 22% | 28% | −6 |
| Expected goals | 1.0 | 2.2 | H · A |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
MFK Skalica
DrawLossLossDrawLoss
- Oct 17 · v AS Trenčín (H)0-2
- Oct 10 · v ŠK Slovan Bratislava (H)1-1
- Sep 20 · v FK Železiarne Podbrezová (H)0-1
- Sep 12 · at Dukla Banská Bystrica (A)2-3
- Sep 5 · at KFC Komárno (A)0-0
FC Spartak Trnava
WinDrawWinWinLoss
- Oct 17 · v ŠK Slovan Bratislava (H)0-3
- Oct 14 · at PFK Piešťany (A)2-0
- Oct 11 · at FK Železiarne Podbrezová (A)3-1
- Sep 20 · at DAC 1904 (A)2-2
- Sep 12 · v FC Košice (H)5-2
| Last 10 games | MFK Skalica | FC Spartak Trnava |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 2-2-6 | 6-2-2 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.1 | 2.3 |
| Goals conceded a game | 2.1 | 1.2 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 70% |
| Both teams scored | 60% | 50% |
| Clean sheets | 10% | 40% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 1-1-4 | 4-3-0 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.