Niké Liga (Slovakia) · Sat, Sep 5 · 16:00 · MFK Zemplín Michalovce vs AS Trenčín
Likeliest: MFK Zemplín Michalovce win · 48%
We make it 48% for under 2.5 goals. The market says 41%.
7 points apart — enough for us to flag it. Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night.
Who wins
MFK Zemplín Michalovce48%47%+1
OursMarket
Draw24%26%−1
OursMarket
AS Trenčín28%27%+1
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 52% | 59% | −7 |
| Both teams score | 54% | 61% | −6 |
| Double chance 1X | 72% | 73% | −1 |
| Double chance X2 | 52% | 53% | −1 |
| Double chance 12 | 76% | 74% | +1 |
| Draw no bet (home) | 63% | 64% | 0 |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
MFK Zemplín Michalovce
LossDrawLossWinWin
- Aug 30 · at ŠK Slovan Bratislava (A)2-1
- Aug 22 · v MFK Skalica (H)2-0
- Aug 16 · at FC Spartak Trnava (A)0-2
- Aug 8 · v KFC Komárno (H)1-1
- Aug 2 · v MŠK Žilina (H)0-1
AS Trenčín
DrawDrawLossLossWin
- Aug 29 · v MFK Ružomberok (H)2-1
- Aug 23 · v FC Spartak Trnava (H)0-4
- Aug 15 · at FK Železiarne Podbrezová (A)1-2
- Aug 1 · at FC Košice (A)3-3
- Jul 25 · v KFC Komárno (H)1-1
| Last 10 games | MFK Zemplín Michalovce | AS Trenčín |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 2-1-3 | 1-2-2 |
| Goals scored a game | 0.8 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.2 | 2.2 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 17% | 80% |
| Both teams scored | 33% | 80% |
| Clean sheets | 17% | 0% |
| Last 10 at this venue | — | — |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.