Niké Liga (Slovakia) · Sat, Oct 10 · 16:00 · MFK Zemplín Michalovce vs DAC 1904
Likeliest: DAC 1904 win · 61%
Likely score: 1–2
A tight one: we make it 61% for the away win. The market says 57%.
Nothing here separates us from the market by four points or more, so there is no spot on this match. Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night.
Who wins
MFK Zemplín Michalovce16%20%−4
OursMarket
Draw23%23%+1
OursMarket
DAC 190461%57%+3
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 86% | — | — |
| Over 2.5 goals | 66% | — | — |
| Over 3.5 goals | 44% | — | — |
| Both teams score | 67% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 39% | 43% | −3 |
| Double chance X2 | 84% | 80% | +4 |
| Double chance 12 | 77% | 77% | 0 |
| Draw no bet (home) | 21% | 26% | −5 |
| Expected goals | 1.3 | 2.2 | H · A |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
MFK Zemplín Michalovce
WinWinWinLossWin
- Sep 19 · v Dukla Banská Bystrica (H)1-0
- Sep 12 · at MFK Ružomberok (A)0-3
- Sep 5 · v AS Trenčín (H)3-1
- Aug 30 · at ŠK Slovan Bratislava (A)2-1
- Aug 22 · v MFK Skalica (H)2-0
DAC 1904
WinWinWinLossDraw
- Sep 20 · v FC Spartak Trnava (H)2-2
- Sep 15 · at TJ Družstevník Veľké Ludince (A)2-3
- Sep 12 · at AS Trenčín (A)4-1
- Sep 5 · v ŠK Slovan Bratislava (H)2-0
- Aug 30 · at MFK Skalica (A)6-1
| Last 10 games | MFK Zemplín Michalovce | DAC 1904 |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 4-1-4 | 6-2-2 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.0 | 2.9 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.2 | 1.6 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 33% | 80% |
| Both teams scored | 33% | 50% |
| Clean sheets | 22% | 40% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 3-1-1 | 4-1-2 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.