Niké Liga (Slovakia) · Sun, Oct 18 · 13:30 · MFK Zemplín Michalovce vs FC Košice
Likeliest: FC Košice win · 51%
Likely score: 1–2
A tight one: we make it 51% for the away win. The market says 48%.
Nothing here separates us from the market by four points or more, so there is no spot on this match. Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night.
Who wins
MFK Zemplín Michalovce26%29%−4
OursMarket
Draw23%22%0
OursMarket
FC Košice51%48%+3
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 86% | — | — |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60% | 64% | −4 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 45% | — | — |
| Both teams score | 59% | 63% | −3 |
| Double chance 1X | 49% | 52% | −3 |
| Double chance X2 | 74% | 71% | +4 |
| Double chance 12 | 77% | 78% | 0 |
| Draw no bet (home) | 33% | 38% | −4 |
| Expected goals | 1.7 | 1.9 | H · A |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
MFK Zemplín Michalovce
WinLossWinLossWin
- Oct 13 · at OFK Baník Lehota pod Vtáčnikom (A)3-0
- Oct 10 · v DAC 1904 (H)0-3
- Sep 19 · v Dukla Banská Bystrica (H)1-0
- Sep 12 · at MFK Ružomberok (A)0-3
- Sep 5 · v AS Trenčín (H)3-1
FC Košice
WinLossWinDrawWin
- Oct 14 · at MŠK Považská Bystrica (A)2-0
- Oct 10 · v KFC Komárno (H)1-1
- Sep 19 · v MFK Ružomberok (H)2-0
- Sep 12 · at FC Spartak Trnava (A)2-5
- Sep 6 · v Dukla Banská Bystrica (H)3-0
| Last 10 games | MFK Zemplín Michalovce | FC Košice |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 5-1-4 | 4-4-2 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.2 | 2.4 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.2 | 1.9 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 70% |
| Both teams scored | 30% | 70% |
| Clean sheets | 30% | 30% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 3-1-2 | 2-2-1 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.