Niké Liga (Slovakia) · Sat, Oct 24 · 13:30 · MFK Zemplín Michalovce vs FK Železiarne Podbrezová
Likeliest: FK Železiarne Podbrezová win · 43%
Likely score: 0–1
A tight one: we make it 43% for the away win. The market says 41%.
Nothing here separates us from the market by four points or more, so there is no spot on this match. Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night.
Who wins
MFK Zemplín Michalovce31%34%−3
OursMarket
Draw26%25%+1
OursMarket
FK Železiarne Podbrezová43%41%+2
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 82% | — | — |
| Over 2.5 goals | 62% | 63% | 0 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 37% | — | — |
| Both teams score | 62% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 57% | 59% | −2 |
| Double chance X2 | 69% | 66% | +3 |
| Double chance 12 | 74% | 75% | −1 |
| Draw no bet (home) | 42% | 45% | −3 |
| Expected goals | 1.3 | 1.3 | H · A |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
MFK Zemplín Michalovce
LossWinLossWinDraw
- Oct 18 · v FC Košice (H)1-1
- Oct 13 · at OFK Baník Lehota pod Vtáčnikom (A)3-0
- Oct 10 · v DAC 1904 (H)0-3
- Sep 19 · v Dukla Banská Bystrica (H)1-0
- Sep 12 · at MFK Ružomberok (A)0-3
FK Železiarne Podbrezová
DrawWinWinLossLoss
- Oct 18 · at Dukla Banská Bystrica (A)0-1
- Oct 11 · v FC Spartak Trnava (H)1-3
- Sep 29 · at Inter Bratislava (A)2-0
- Sep 20 · at MFK Skalica (A)1-0
- Sep 13 · v KFC Komárno (H)1-1
| Last 10 games | MFK Zemplín Michalovce | FK Železiarne Podbrezová |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 5-2-3 | 4-2-4 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.3 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.2 | 1.7 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 60% |
| Both teams scored | 40% | 60% |
| Clean sheets | 30% | 20% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 3-2-2 | 3-0-4 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.