Championship (England) · Sat, Nov 8 · 15:00 · Middlesbrough vs Birmingham City
Likeliest: Middlesbrough win · 36%
A tight one: we make it 36% for the home win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
Middlesbrough36%——
OursMarket
Draw30%——
OursMarket
Birmingham City34%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 45% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 66% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 64% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 70% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 51% | — | — |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Middlesbrough
WinWinDrawLossDraw
- Nov 4 · at Leicester City (A)1-1
- Nov 1 · at Watford (A)0-3
- Oct 25 · v Wrexham (H)1-1
- Oct 22 · at Sheffield Wednesday (A)1-0
- Oct 17 · v Ipswich Town (H)2-1
Birmingham City
LossWinLossWinWin
- Nov 4 · v Millwall (H)4-0
- Nov 1 · v Portsmouth (H)4-0
- Oct 25 · at Bristol City (A)0-1
- Oct 21 · at Preston North End (A)1-0
- Oct 18 · v Hull City (H)2-3
| Last 10 games | Middlesbrough | Birmingham City |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 3-5-2 | 4-2-4 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.0 | 1.5 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.1 | 1.1 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 40% | 50% |
| Both teams scored | 60% | 30% |
| Clean sheets | 20% | 40% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 5-3-2 | 5-1-4 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.