Championship (England) · Tue, Mar 11 · 19:45 · Middlesbrough vs Queens Park Rangers
Likeliest: Middlesbrough win · 41%
A tight one: we make it 41% for the home win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
Middlesbrough41%——
OursMarket
Draw26%——
OursMarket
Queens Park Rangers33%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 48% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 67% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 59% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 74% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 56% | — | — |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Middlesbrough
LossLossWinWinLoss
- Mar 8 · at Swansea City (A)0-1
- Mar 1 · v Derby County (H)1-0
- Feb 25 · at Stoke City (A)3-1
- Feb 21 · at Bristol City (A)1-2
- Feb 15 · v Watford (H)0-1
Queens Park Rangers
LossWinLossLossLoss
- Mar 8 · at West Bromwich Albion (A)0-1
- Mar 1 · v Sheffield United (H)1-2
- Feb 22 · at Portsmouth (A)1-2
- Feb 14 · v Derby County (H)4-0
- Feb 11 · at Coventry City (A)0-1
| Last 10 games | Middlesbrough | Queens Park Rangers |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 3-0-7 | 4-0-6 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.5 | 1.2 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60% | 60% |
| Both teams scored | 60% | 50% |
| Clean sheets | 20% | 20% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 2-1-3 | 2-0-5 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.
Middlesbrough form·Queens Park Rangers form·Head-to-head record