Championship (England) · Sat, Dec 13 · 15:00 · Middlesbrough vs Queens Park Rangers
Likeliest: Middlesbrough win · 50%
A tight one: we make it 50% for the home win. The market says 49%.
Nothing here separates us from the market by four points or more, so there is no spot on this match. Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night.
Who wins
Middlesbrough50%49%+1
OursMarket
Draw25%26%−1
OursMarket
Queens Park Rangers25%25%0
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 47% | 50% | −3 |
| Double chance 1X | 75% | 75% | 0 |
| Double chance X2 | 50% | 51% | −1 |
| Double chance 12 | 75% | 74% | +1 |
| Draw no bet (home) | 67% | 67% | 0 |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Middlesbrough
DrawLossWinWinWin
- Dec 9 · at Charlton Athletic (A)2-1
- Dec 5 · at Hull City (A)4-1
- Nov 29 · v Derby County (H)2-1
- Nov 25 · v Coventry City (H)2-4
- Nov 22 · at Oxford United (A)1-1
Queens Park Rangers
WinWinLossWinWin
- Dec 9 · v Birmingham City (H)2-1
- Dec 6 · v West Bromwich Albion (H)3-1
- Nov 29 · at Norwich City (A)1-3
- Nov 26 · at Blackburn Rovers (A)1-0
- Nov 22 · v Hull City (H)3-2
| Last 10 games | Middlesbrough | Queens Park Rangers |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 5-3-2 | 5-1-4 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.6 | 1.3 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.4 | 1.4 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60% | 60% |
| Both teams scored | 80% | 60% |
| Clean sheets | 10% | 30% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 6-2-2 | 4-2-4 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.
Middlesbrough form·Queens Park Rangers form·Head-to-head record