Championship (England) · Sat, Feb 15 · 15:00 · Middlesbrough vs Watford
Likeliest: Middlesbrough win · 42%
A tight one: we make it 42% for the home win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
Middlesbrough42%——
OursMarket
Draw27%——
OursMarket
Watford31%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 48% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 69% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 58% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 73% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 57% | — | — |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Middlesbrough
LossWinLossLossLoss
- Feb 12 · at Sheffield United (A)1-3
- Feb 3 · v Sunderland (H)2-3
- Jan 25 · at Preston North End (A)1-2
- Jan 21 · v West Bromwich Albion (H)2-0
- Jan 18 · at Portsmouth (A)1-2
Watford
LossLossLossDrawLoss
- Feb 11 · v Leeds United (H)0-4
- Feb 8 · at Sunderland (A)2-2
- Feb 1 · v Norwich City (H)0-1
- Jan 25 · at Coventry City (A)1-2
- Jan 21 · v Preston North End (H)1-2
| Last 10 games | Middlesbrough | Watford |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 2-1-5 | 1-2-7 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.1 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.5 | 2.1 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 70% |
| Both teams scored | 63% | 70% |
| Clean sheets | 25% | 10% |
| Last 10 at this venue | — | 1-2-3 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.