Championship (England) · Tue, Mar 4 · 19:45 · Millwall vs Bristol City
Likeliest: Bristol City win · 38%
A tight one: we make it 38% for the away win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
Millwall37%——
OursMarket
Draw25%——
OursMarket
Bristol City38%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 49% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 62% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 63% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 75% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 49% | — | — |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Millwall
LossDrawDrawWinLoss
- Mar 1 · at Crystal Palace (A)1-3
- Feb 22 · at Derby County (A)1-0
- Feb 18 · at Preston North End (A)1-1
- Feb 15 · v West Bromwich Albion (H)1-1
- Feb 12 · at Plymouth Argyle (A)1-5
Bristol City
DrawLossWinDrawWin
- Feb 21 · v Middlesbrough (H)2-1
- Feb 15 · at Cardiff City (A)1-1
- Feb 12 · v Stoke City (H)2-0
- Feb 9 · v Swansea City (H)0-1
- Feb 1 · at Oxford United (A)1-1
| Last 10 games | Millwall | Bristol City |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 5-3-2 | 4-3-3 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.3 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.3 | 1.0 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 40% | 40% |
| Both teams scored | 60% | 60% |
| Clean sheets | 40% | 20% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 2-2-2 | 0-4-1 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.