Championship (England) · Sat, Nov 8 · 12:30 · Millwall vs Preston North End
Likeliest: Millwall win · 40%
A tight one: we make it 40% for the home win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
Millwall40%——
OursMarket
Draw25%——
OursMarket
Preston North End36%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 49% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 64% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 60% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 75% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 53% | — | — |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Millwall
WinWinWinDrawLoss
- Nov 4 · at Birmingham City (A)0-4
- Nov 1 · at Oxford United (A)2-2
- Oct 25 · v Leicester City (H)1-0
- Oct 21 · v Stoke City (H)2-0
- Oct 18 · at Queens Park Rangers (A)2-1
Preston North End
LossLossWinWinWin
- Nov 5 · v Swansea City (H)2-1
- Nov 1 · at Southampton (A)2-0
- Oct 24 · v Sheffield United (H)3-2
- Oct 21 · v Birmingham City (H)0-1
- Oct 18 · at West Bromwich Albion (A)1-2
| Last 10 games | Millwall | Preston North End |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 5-3-2 | 5-3-2 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.3 | 1.5 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.3 | 1.0 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 50% |
| Both teams scored | 40% | 50% |
| Clean sheets | 40% | 40% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 7-0-3 | 3-3-4 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.