Championship (England) · Sat, Feb 1 · 15:00 · Millwall vs Queens Park Rangers

    Likeliest: Millwall win · 39%

    A tight one: we make it 39% for the home win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.

    Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.

    Who wins
    Millwall39%——
    OursMarket
    Draw25%——
    OursMarket
    Queens Park Rangers35%——
    OursMarket

    Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.

    Goalsours · market · gap
    MarketOursMarketGap
    Over 2.5 goals49%——
    Double chance 1X65%——
    Double chance X261%——
    Double chance 1274%——
    Draw no bet (home)53%——

    Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.

    Form
    Millwall
    WinLossDrawWinWin
    • Jan 28 · at Portsmouth (A)1-0
    • Jan 25 · at Luton Town (A)1-0
    • Jan 21 · v Cardiff City (H)2-2
    • Jan 18 · v Hull City (H)0-1
    • Jan 13 · v Dagenham & Redbridge (H)3-0
    Queens Park Rangers
    WinLossWinWinLoss
    • Jan 25 · v Sheffield Wednesday (H)0-2
    • Jan 21 · at Hull City (A)2-1
    • Jan 18 · at Plymouth Argyle (A)1-0
    • Jan 11 · at Leicester City (A)2-6
    • Jan 6 · v Luton Town (H)2-1
    Last 10 gamesMillwallQueens Park Rangers
    Won-drawn-lost3-2-24-0-2
    Goals scored a game1.31.7
    Goals conceded a game0.91.8
    Over 2.5 goals43%67%
    Both teams scored29%67%
    Clean sheets43%17%
    Last 10 at this venue——

    Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.

    Millwall form·Queens Park Rangers form·Head-to-head record

    Every match we have priced today