Premier League (Egypt) · Mon, Oct 12 · 14:00 · Modern Sport FC vs ENPPI
Likeliest: Modern Sport FC win · 39%
Likely score: 1–0
A tight one: we make it 39% for the home win. The market says 43%.
Nothing here separates us from the market by four points or more, so there is no spot on this match. Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night.
Who wins
Modern Sport FC39%43%−4
OursMarket
Draw36%33%+3
OursMarket
ENPPI25%24%+1
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 63% | — | — |
| Over 2.5 goals | 42% | 36% | +6 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 16% | — | — |
| Both teams score | 43% | 41% | +1 |
| Double chance 1X | 75% | 76% | −1 |
| Double chance X2 | 61% | 57% | +4 |
| Double chance 12 | 64% | 67% | −3 |
| Draw no bet (home) | 61% | 65% | −3 |
| Expected goals | 0.9 | 1.1 | H · A |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Modern Sport FC
DrawWinLossWinWin
- Sep 15 · at Asyut Petroleum (A)2-0
- Sep 9 · v Wadi Degla (H)2-1
- Sep 2 · at Ceramica Cleopatra (A)0-2
- Aug 27 · v Ghazl El Mahalla (H)2-0
- Aug 23 · at El Gouna FC (A)1-1
ENPPI
LossLossDrawWinLoss
- Sep 16 · v Pyramids FC (H)1-2
- Sep 9 · v ZED FC (H)2-1
- Sep 1 · at Ghazl El Mahalla (A)0-0
- Aug 28 · v Wadi Degla (H)1-3
- Aug 23 · at Al Ahly FC (A)2-3
| Last 10 games | Modern Sport FC | ENPPI |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 4-3-3 | 1-4-5 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.1 | 1.1 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.1 | 1.8 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 30% | 70% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 70% |
| Clean sheets | 40% | 20% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 2-7-1 | 2-4-4 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.