Premier League (Egypt) · Wed, Sep 9 · 14:00 · Modern Sport FC vs Wadi Degla
Likeliest: Wadi Degla win · 36%
We make it 50% for over 2.5 goals. The market says 32%.
18 points apart — enough for us to flag it. Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night.
Who wins
Modern Sport FC36%31%+5
OursMarket
Draw28%33%−5
OursMarket
Wadi Degla36%36%0
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 32% | +18 |
| Both teams score | 46% | 42% | +5 |
| Double chance 1X | 64% | 64% | 0 |
| Double chance X2 | 64% | 69% | −5 |
| Double chance 12 | 72% | 67% | +5 |
| Draw no bet (home) | 50% | 46% | +4 |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Modern Sport FC
LossLossDrawWinLoss
- Sep 2 · at Ceramica Cleopatra (A)0-2
- Aug 27 · v Ghazl El Mahalla (H)2-0
- Aug 23 · at El Gouna FC (A)1-1
- May 29 · at Arab Contractors FC (A)1-3
- May 29 · at Al-Mokawloon (A)1-3
Wadi Degla
WinWinDrawWinDraw
- Sep 1 · v Canal SC (H)0-0
- Aug 28 · at ENPPI (A)3-1
- Aug 21 · v ZED FC (H)0-0
- May 28 · at El Geish (A)2-0
- May 28 · at Tala'ea El-Gaish (A)2-0
| Last 10 games | Modern Sport FC | Wadi Degla |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 2-4-4 | 4-5-1 |
| Goals scored a game | 0.8 | 1.5 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.2 | 0.9 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 30% | 50% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 60% |
| Clean sheets | 40% | 40% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 2-7-1 | 5-5-0 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.