Ligue 1 (France) · Sat, Feb 1 · 18:00 · Monaco vs Auxerre
Likeliest: Monaco win · 52%
A tight one: we make it 52% for the home win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
Monaco52%——
OursMarket
Draw25%——
OursMarket
Auxerre23%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 55% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 77% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 48% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 75% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 69% | — | — |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Monaco
DrawLossWinWinLoss
- Jan 29 · at Inter (A)0-3
- Jan 25 · v Rennes (H)3-2
- Jan 21 · v Aston Villa (H)1-0
- Jan 17 · at Montpellier (A)1-2
- Jan 10 · at Nantes (A)2-2
Auxerre
LossDrawLossDraw
- Jan 24 · v Saint-Étienne (H)1-1
- Jan 19 · at Angers SCO (A)0-2
- Jan 10 · v LOSC Lille (H)0-0
- Jan 5 · at Strasbourg (A)1-3
| Last 10 games | Monaco | Auxerre |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 2-1-2 | — |
| Goals scored a game | 1.4 | — |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.8 | — |
| Over 2.5 goals | 80% | — |
| Both teams scored | 60% | — |
| Clean sheets | 20% | — |
| Last 10 at this venue | — | — |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.