Ligue 1 (France) · Sat, Feb 15 · 18:00 · Monaco vs Nantes
Likeliest: Monaco win · 50%
A tight one: we make it 50% for the home win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
Monaco50%——
OursMarket
Draw27%——
OursMarket
Nantes23%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 55% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 77% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 50% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 73% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 68% | — | — |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Monaco
WinLossWinLossLoss
- Feb 12 · v Benfica (H)0-1
- Feb 7 · at Paris Saint Germain (A)1-4
- Feb 1 · v Auxerre (H)4-2
- Jan 29 · at Inter (A)0-3
- Jan 25 · v Rennes (H)3-2
Nantes
LossDrawDrawWinLoss
- Feb 7 · v Brest (H)0-2
- Feb 2 · at Reims (A)2-1
- Jan 26 · v Olympique Lyonnais (H)1-1
- Jan 19 · at Saint-Étienne (A)1-1
- Jan 15 · at Brest (A)1-2
| Last 10 games | Monaco | Nantes |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 3-1-4 | 1-4-2 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.5 | 1.1 |
| Goals conceded a game | 2.0 | 1.4 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 75% | 43% |
| Both teams scored | 63% | 86% |
| Clean sheets | 13% | 0% |
| Last 10 at this venue | — | — |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.