Serie A (Italy) · Sun, Mar 2 · 11:30 · Monza vs Torino
Likeliest: Monza win · 41%
A tight one: we make it 41% for the home win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
Monza41%——
OursMarket
Draw29%——
OursMarket
Torino30%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 55% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 70% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 59% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 71% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 57% | — | — |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Monza
LossLossLossDrawLoss
- Feb 24 · at Roma (A)0-4
- Feb 16 · v Lecce (H)0-0
- Feb 9 · at Lazio (A)1-5
- Feb 1 · v Hellas Verona (H)0-1
- Jan 27 · at Genoa (A)0-2
Torino
WinDrawDrawLossWin
- Feb 22 · v Milan (H)2-1
- Feb 14 · at Bologna (A)2-3
- Feb 8 · v Genoa (H)1-1
- Feb 1 · at Atalanta (A)1-1
- Jan 24 · v Cagliari (H)2-0
| Last 10 games | Monza | Torino |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 1-1-6 | 2-5-1 |
| Goals scored a game | 0.6 | 1.3 |
| Goals conceded a game | 2.3 | 1.0 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 63% | 25% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 75% |
| Clean sheets | 13% | 25% |
| Last 10 at this venue | — | — |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.