Eredivisie (Netherlands) · Sat, Feb 15 · 17:45 · NAC Breda vs Feyenoord
Likeliest: Feyenoord win · 41%
A tight one: we make it 41% for the away win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
NAC Breda34%——
OursMarket
Draw25%——
OursMarket
Feyenoord41%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 55% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 59% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 66% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 75% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 45% | — | — |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
NAC Breda
LossWinLossDrawLoss
- Feb 9 · at RKC Waalwijk (A)0-5
- Jan 31 · v Heracles Almelo (H)1-1
- Jan 25 · at PSV (A)2-3
- Jan 19 · v FC Twente (H)2-1
- Jan 12 · v SC Heerenveen (H)2-4
Feyenoord
LossLossLossWinWin
- Feb 12 · v Milan (H)1-0
- Feb 8 · v Sparta Rotterdam (H)3-0
- Feb 5 · at PSV (A)0-2
- Feb 2 · at Ajax (A)1-2
- Jan 29 · at LOSC Lille (A)1-6
| Last 10 games | NAC Breda | Feyenoord |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 1-1-3 | 4-1-4 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.4 | 1.7 |
| Goals conceded a game | 2.8 | 1.6 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 80% | 67% |
| Both teams scored | 80% | 56% |
| Clean sheets | 0% | 33% |
| Last 10 at this venue | — | 1-1-3 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.