Eredivisie (Netherlands) · Sat, Nov 1 · 17:45 · NAC Breda vs Go Ahead Eagles
Likeliest: NAC Breda win · 41%
A tight one: we make it 41% for the home win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
NAC Breda41%——
OursMarket
Draw27%——
OursMarket
Go Ahead Eagles32%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 66% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 68% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 59% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 73% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 56% | — | — |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
NAC Breda
LossLossDrawDrawLoss
- Oct 29 · v Heracles Almelo (H)1-4
- Oct 24 · at SC Heerenveen (A)3-3
- Oct 18 · v PEC Zwolle (H)2-2
- Oct 3 · v FC Groningen (H)1-2
- Sep 27 · at Ajax (A)1-2
Go Ahead Eagles
WinDrawLossWinWin
- Oct 26 · v Excelsior (H)2-0
- Oct 23 · v Aston Villa (H)2-1
- Oct 18 · at PSV (A)1-2
- Oct 5 · v NEC Nijmegen (H)1-1
- Oct 2 · at Panathinaikos (A)2-1
| Last 10 games | NAC Breda | Go Ahead Eagles |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 2-3-5 | 5-2-3 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.4 | 1.7 |
| Goals conceded a game | 2.1 | 1.2 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 90% | 60% |
| Both teams scored | 80% | 60% |
| Clean sheets | 0% | 30% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 2-4-4 | 2-5-3 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.