Eredivisie (Netherlands) · Fri, Jan 31 · 19:00 · NAC Breda vs Heracles Almelo
Likeliest: NAC Breda win · 50%
A tight one: we make it 50% for the home win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
NAC Breda50%——
OursMarket
Draw25%——
OursMarket
Heracles Almelo25%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 55% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 75% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 50% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 75% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 67% | — | — |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
NAC Breda
LossWinLoss
- Jan 25 · at PSV (A)2-3
- Jan 19 · v FC Twente (H)2-1
- Jan 12 · v SC Heerenveen (H)2-4
Heracles Almelo
DrawWinWinDrawDraw
- Jan 28 · v FC Groningen (H)1-1
- Jan 24 · v FC Utrecht (H)1-1
- Jan 19 · at Almere City (A)2-0
- Jan 16 · at De Graafschap (A)2-0
- Jan 11 · v Sparta Rotterdam (H)1-1
| Last 10 games | NAC Breda | Heracles Almelo |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | — | 2-3-0 |
| Goals scored a game | — | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded a game | — | 0.6 |
| Over 2.5 goals | — | 0% |
| Both teams scored | — | 60% |
| Clean sheets | — | 40% |
| Last 10 at this venue | — | — |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.