Eredivisie (Netherlands) · Fri, Mar 7 · 19:00 · NAC Breda vs Sparta Rotterdam
Likeliest: NAC Breda win · 44%
A tight one: we make it 44% for the home win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
NAC Breda44%——
OursMarket
Draw26%——
OursMarket
Sparta Rotterdam30%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 55% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 70% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 56% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 73% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 60% | — | — |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
NAC Breda
LossDrawLossDrawLoss
- Mar 1 · at FC Utrecht (A)0-1
- Feb 15 · v Feyenoord (H)0-0
- Feb 9 · at RKC Waalwijk (A)0-5
- Jan 31 · v Heracles Almelo (H)1-1
- Jan 25 · at PSV (A)2-3
Sparta Rotterdam
WinWinLossLossWin
- Mar 2 · v Willem II (H)4-0
- Feb 14 · at Go Ahead Eagles (A)0-1
- Feb 8 · at Feyenoord (A)0-3
- Feb 2 · v FC Groningen (H)1-0
- Jan 26 · at AZ (A)2-1
| Last 10 games | NAC Breda | Sparta Rotterdam |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 1-2-4 | 3-2-2 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.0 | 1.3 |
| Goals conceded a game | 2.1 | 1.0 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 57% | 43% |
| Both teams scored | 57% | 43% |
| Clean sheets | 14% | 29% |
| Last 10 at this venue | — | — |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.