Ligue 1 (France) · Fri, Feb 7 · 18:00 · Nantes vs Brest
Likeliest: Nantes win · 42%
A tight one: we make it 42% for the home win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
Nantes42%——
OursMarket
Draw28%——
OursMarket
Brest31%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 52% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 69% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 58% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 72% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 58% | — | — |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Nantes
DrawLossDrawDrawWin
- Feb 2 · at Reims (A)2-1
- Jan 26 · v Olympique Lyonnais (H)1-1
- Jan 19 · at Saint-Étienne (A)1-1
- Jan 15 · at Brest (A)1-2
- Jan 10 · v Monaco (H)2-2
Brest
LossWinLossLossWin
- Feb 4 · at Troyes (A)2-1
- Feb 1 · v Paris Saint Germain (H)2-5
- Jan 29 · v Real Madrid (H)0-3
- Jan 26 · at Le Havre (A)1-0
- Jan 22 · at Shakhtar Donetsk (A)0-2
| Last 10 games | Nantes | Brest |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 1-4-1 | 5-0-4 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.3 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.3 | 1.8 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 67% |
| Both teams scored | 100% | 56% |
| Clean sheets | 0% | 11% |
| Last 10 at this venue | — | 3-0-2 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.