Ligue 1 (France) · Sat, Mar 15 · 16:00 · Nantes vs LOSC Lille
Likeliest: LOSC Lille win · 39%
A tight one: we make it 39% for the away win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
Nantes33%——
OursMarket
Draw28%——
OursMarket
LOSC Lille39%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 55% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 61% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 67% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 72% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 46% | — | — |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Nantes
LossLossWinLossLoss
- Mar 9 · v Strasbourg (H)0-1
- Mar 2 · at Olympique Marseille (A)0-2
- Feb 23 · v Lens (H)3-1
- Feb 15 · at Monaco (A)1-7
- Feb 7 · v Brest (H)0-2
LOSC Lille
WinLossDrawWinLoss
- Mar 12 · v Borussia Dortmund (H)1-2
- Mar 8 · v Montpellier (H)1-0
- Mar 4 · at Borussia Dortmund (A)1-1
- Mar 1 · at Paris Saint Germain (A)1-4
- Feb 22 · v Monaco (H)2-1
| Last 10 games | Nantes | LOSC Lille |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 2-3-5 | 5-1-4 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.1 | 2.0 |
| Goals conceded a game | 2.0 | 1.4 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 70% |
| Both teams scored | 70% | 80% |
| Clean sheets | 0% | 20% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 1-2-2 | 1-2-3 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.