Ligue 1 (France) · Wed, Oct 29 · 20:05 · Nantes vs Monaco
Likeliest: Nantes win · 43%
A tight one: we make it 43% for the home win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
Nantes43%——
OursMarket
Draw25%——
OursMarket
Monaco32%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 64% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 68% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 57% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 75% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 57% | — | — |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Nantes
DrawDrawDrawLossWin
- Oct 24 · at Paris (A)2-1
- Oct 19 · v LOSC Lille (H)0-2
- Oct 4 · at Brest (A)0-0
- Sep 27 · at Toulouse (A)2-2
- Sep 20 · v Rennes (H)2-2
Monaco
DrawDrawDrawDrawWin
- Oct 25 · v Toulouse (H)1-0
- Oct 22 · v Tottenham Hotspur (H)0-0
- Oct 18 · at Angers SCO (A)1-1
- Oct 5 · v Nice (H)2-2
- Oct 1 · v Manchester City (H)2-2
| Last 10 games | Nantes | Monaco |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 3-3-4 | 4-4-2 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.0 | 1.8 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.0 | 1.7 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 40% | 70% |
| Both teams scored | 30% | 80% |
| Clean sheets | 30% | 20% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 3-3-4 | 3-2-5 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.