Ligue 1 (France) · Sun, Mar 9 · 16:15 · Nantes vs Strasbourg
Likeliest: Nantes win · 38%
A tight one: we make it 38% for the home win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
Nantes38%——
OursMarket
Draw28%——
OursMarket
Strasbourg34%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 55% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 66% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 62% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 72% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 53% | — | — |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Nantes
WinLossLossWinLoss
- Mar 2 · at Olympique Marseille (A)0-2
- Feb 23 · v Lens (H)3-1
- Feb 15 · at Monaco (A)1-7
- Feb 7 · v Brest (H)0-2
- Feb 2 · at Reims (A)2-1
Strasbourg
LossWinWinDrawWin
- Mar 2 · at Auxerre (A)1-0
- Feb 23 · v Brest (H)0-0
- Feb 16 · at Lens (A)2-0
- Feb 9 · v Montpellier (H)2-0
- Feb 5 · v Angers SCO (H)1-3
| Last 10 games | Nantes | Strasbourg |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 2-4-4 | 6-2-2 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.2 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded a game | 2.0 | 0.8 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 40% |
| Both teams scored | 80% | 50% |
| Clean sheets | 0% | 40% |
| Last 10 at this venue | — | 3-1-1 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.