Serie A (Italy) · Sat, Nov 1 · 17:00 · Napoli vs Como
Likeliest: Napoli win · 44%
A tight one: we make it 44% for the home win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
Napoli44%——
OursMarket
Draw27%——
OursMarket
Como28%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 64% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 72% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 56% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 73% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 61% | — | — |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Napoli
WinLossLossWinWin
- Oct 28 · at Lecce (A)1-0
- Oct 25 · v Inter (H)3-1
- Oct 21 · at PSV (A)2-6
- Oct 18 · at Torino (A)0-1
- Oct 5 · v Genoa (H)2-1
Como
DrawDrawWinDrawWin
- Oct 29 · v Hellas Verona (H)3-1
- Oct 25 · at Parma (A)0-0
- Oct 19 · v Juventus (H)2-0
- Oct 4 · at Atalanta (A)1-1
- Sep 28 · v Cremonese (H)1-1
| Last 10 games | Napoli | Como |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 6-0-4 | 5-4-1 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.7 | 1.5 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.7 | 0.6 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 70% | 30% |
| Both teams scored | 70% | 50% |
| Clean sheets | 10% | 40% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 9-1-0 | 4-3-3 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.