Serie A (Italy) · Sat, Mar 1 · 17:00 · Napoli vs Inter
Likeliest: Napoli win · 42%
A tight one: we make it 42% for the home win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
Napoli42%——
OursMarket
Draw22%——
OursMarket
Inter33%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 63% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 65% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 55% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 75% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 56% | — | — |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Napoli
WinDrawDrawDrawLoss
- Feb 23 · at Como (A)1-2
- Feb 15 · at Lazio (A)2-2
- Feb 9 · v Udinese (H)1-1
- Feb 2 · at Roma (A)1-1
- Jan 25 · v Juventus (H)2-1
Inter
LossWinLossWinWin
- Feb 25 · v Lazio (H)2-0
- Feb 22 · v Genoa (H)1-0
- Feb 16 · at Juventus (A)0-1
- Feb 10 · v Fiorentina (H)2-1
- Feb 6 · at Fiorentina (A)0-3
| Last 10 games | Napoli | Inter |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 4-3-1 | 7-1-2 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.9 | 1.7 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.1 | 0.7 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 63% | 50% |
| Both teams scored | 75% | 30% |
| Clean sheets | 25% | 50% |
| Last 10 at this venue | — | 3-1-2 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.