Serie A (Italy) · Sat, Jan 25 · 17:00 · Napoli vs Juventus
Likeliest: Napoli win · 40%
A tight one: we make it 40% for the home win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
Napoli40%——
OursMarket
Draw26%——
OursMarket
Juventus34%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 55% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 66% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 60% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 74% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 55% | — | — |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Napoli
WinWinWin
- Jan 18 · at Atalanta (A)3-2
- Jan 12 · v Hellas Verona (H)2-0
- Jan 4 · at Fiorentina (A)3-0
Juventus
DrawDrawWinDraw
- Jan 21 · at Club Brugge (A)0-0
- Jan 18 · v Milan (H)2-0
- Jan 14 · at Atalanta (A)1-1
- Jan 11 · at Torino (A)1-1