Persian Gulf Pro League (Iran) · Sun, Oct 25 · 13:15 · Nassaji Mazandaran FC vs Fajr Sepasi FC
Likeliest: Nassaji Mazandaran FC win · 35%
Likely score: 1–0
A tight one: we make it 35% for the home win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
Nassaji Mazandaran FC35%——
OursMarket
Draw35%——
OursMarket
Fajr Sepasi FC30%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 60% | — | — |
| Over 2.5 goals | 33% | — | — |
| Over 3.5 goals | 14% | — | — |
| Both teams score | 41% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 70% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 65% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 65% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 54% | — | — |
| Expected goals | 0.9 | 0.8 | H · A |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Nassaji Mazandaran FC
WinWinDrawDrawDraw
- Oct 18 · at Foolad Khuzestan (A)0-0
- Oct 8 · v Zob Ahan (H)1-1
- Sep 13 · at Mes Shahr Babak (A)1-1
- Sep 7 · v Kheybar Khorramabad FC (H)1-0
- Sep 2 · at Malavan Bandar Anzali FC (A)1-0
Fajr Sepasi FC
DrawLossLossWinWin
- Oct 19 · v Paykan (H)2-0
- Oct 13 · v Aluminium Arak (H)2-1
- Oct 8 · at Sepahan S.C. (A)1-6
- Sep 7 · at Foolad Khuzestan (A)0-1
- Sep 3 · v Mes Shahr Babak (H)1-1
| Last 10 games | Nassaji Mazandaran FC | Fajr Sepasi FC |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 2-4-3 | 3-4-2 |
| Goals scored a game | 0.6 | 0.9 |
| Goals conceded a game | 0.8 | 1.1 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 0% | 22% |
| Both teams scored | 33% | 44% |
| Clean sheets | 33% | 44% |
| Last 10 at this venue | — | — |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.