Persian Gulf Pro League (Iran) · Thu, Oct 8 · 12:30 · Nassaji Mazandaran FC vs Zob Ahan
Likeliest: draw · 40%
Likely score: 0–0
A tight one: we make it 40% for the draw. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
Nassaji Mazandaran FC33%——
OursMarket
Draw40%——
OursMarket
Zob Ahan28%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 55% | — | — |
| Over 2.5 goals | 28% | — | — |
| Over 3.5 goals | 11% | — | — |
| Both teams score | 37% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 73% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 67% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 60% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 54% | — | — |
| Expected goals | 0.7 | 0.7 | H · A |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Nassaji Mazandaran FC
DrawLossWinWinDraw
- Sep 13 · at Mes Shahr Babak (A)1-1
- Sep 7 · v Kheybar Khorramabad FC (H)1-0
- Sep 2 · at Malavan Bandar Anzali FC (A)1-0
- Aug 28 · v Shams Azar Qazvin (H)0-2
- Aug 23 · at Esteghlal Khuzestan (A)1-1
Zob Ahan
LossDrawDrawWinLoss
- Sep 7 · at Persepolis FC (A)0-2
- Sep 2 · v Paykan (H)1-0
- Aug 29 · at Fajr Sepasi FC (A)0-0
- Aug 24 · v Mes Shahr Babak (H)1-1
- Aug 19 · at Malavan Bandar Anzali FC (A)1-2
| Last 10 games | Nassaji Mazandaran FC | Zob Ahan |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 2-2-3 | 2-4-4 |
| Goals scored a game | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded a game | 0.9 | 0.9 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 0% | 30% |
| Both teams scored | 29% | 40% |
| Clean sheets | 29% | 40% |
| Last 10 at this venue | — | 1-3-6 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.