Premier League (Egypt) · Wed, Aug 26 · 17:00 · National Bank of Egypt vs Zamalek SC
Likeliest: Zamalek SC win · 37%
We make it 52% for over 2.5 goals. The market says 41%.
10 points apart — enough for us to flag it. Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night.
Who wins
National Bank of Egypt36%28%+8
OursMarket
Draw27%32%−5
OursMarket
Zamalek SC37%40%−3
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 52% | 41% | +10 |
| Both teams score | 52% | 49% | +4 |
| Double chance 1X | 63% | 60% | +3 |
| Double chance X2 | 64% | 72% | −8 |
| Double chance 12 | 73% | 68% | +5 |
| Draw no bet (home) | 49% | 42% | +8 |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
National Bank of Egypt
DrawWinDrawDrawLoss
- Aug 21 · at Abu Qair Semad (A)0-1
- May 29 · v Al-Ittihad Alexandria (H)2-2
- May 29 · v Al Ittihad (H)2-2
- May 22 · at Pharco (A)1-0
- May 17 · v El Gounah (H)1-1
Zamalek SC
Draw
- Aug 21 · v Al-Ittihad Alexandria (H)0-0
| Last 10 games | National Bank of Egypt | Zamalek SC |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 4-4-2 | — |
| Goals scored a game | 1.5 | — |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.2 | — |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60% | — |
| Both teams scored | 70% | — |
| Clean sheets | 20% | — |
| Last 10 at this venue | 4-4-2 | — |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.